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Yar’Adua’s health again prompts questions

Nigerian president Umaru Yar’Adua Photos: AFP/Getty Images

Continued speculation over the state of Nigerian president Umaru Yar’Adua’s health leads to uncertainty about his succession and reform efforts within the country

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Pressure mounts for election

Côte d’Ivoire President Laurent Gbagbo on the campaign trail Photos: AFP/Getty Images

Further delays to the elections in Côte d’Ivoire despite international pressure for a resolution have prompted concerns over the prospects for a smooth return to unity in the divided country

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No end to junta’s rule in sight

Soldiers guard ceremonies marking the 51st anniversary of independence Photos: AFP/Getty Images

The attempt on the life of Guinean junta leader Captain Moussa Dadis Camara exposes divisions within the ruling cadre and further threatens prospects for a return to civilian rule

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A looming threat to stability

Fighters of the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta AFP/Getty Images

The amnesty for militants in the Niger Delta coincided with a ceasefire from insurgent group Mend. But as the two offers expire there are fears of an upsurge in violence in the run-up to the 2011 elections

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Algeria

Abdelaziz Bouteflika has been re-elected for a third term in a largely uncontested election, but speculation about his health has raised concerns about the succession process in a key partner for stability in the Maghreb.

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Bongo dynasty likely to continue

The coffin of the late president Omar Bongo in Libreville, Gabon AFP/Getty Images

Uncertainty in Gabon following the death of long-time ally of France Omar Bongo is unlikely to threaten the cosy relationship between the country and its former colonial power, experts say.

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Guinea-Bissau: Vieira's assassination

The assassination of President Joao Bernardo Vieira has prompted fears of a coup in the West African country.

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Sudan: ICC decision could provoke backlash

Sudanese president Omar al-Bashir waves to supporters during his visit to the North Darfur state capital of el-Fasher on March 8, 2009

The International Criminal Court’s warrant for the arrest of President Bashir in Sudan is at best ineffective – and at worst counterproductive, experts say.

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Ghana: Atta-Mills wins close election

Many in the international media watched Ghana’s election in December 2008 head into a run-off with grim expectations. With more than a touch of melodrama, the press had declared these to be the most important polls in recent African history, with Ghana acting as a Litmus test for the continent’s democratic future.

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Guinea: Coup interrupts Conté succession

The constitutional transition of power in Guinea, following the death of the country’s president, Lansana Conté, has been interrupted by a military coup, led by a number of junior officers calling themselves the National Council for Democracy and Development.

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Zambia: Mwanwasa's succession

Rupiah Banda inherits a legacy of sound economic policy and political stability. But he faces stiff challenges in managing Zambia’s economy and international relationships before presidential elections in 2011.

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Zimbabwe: Few signs of settlement

Zimbabwe’s continuing political power struggle has once again reached an impasse. Despite a humanitarian crisis and ongoing negotiations, there are few signs of a permanent settlement.

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Somalia: Onshore chaos fuels piracy

Proposed measures to curb piracy off the coast of Somalia fail to address the vacuum of power onshore that has allowed criminality to flourish.

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DRC: UN struggles with mandate

A lack of clarity in its mandate means that, despite the deployment of 17,000 troops, the UN mission to the DRC has failed to protect civilians caught up in the recent fighting.

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